Here We Go!!! (Into overtime!)

The (real) NCAA tournament starts in about one hour. To kick it off, I present my Overtime% for the first round.

Each game is ranked by the probability that is going into overtime*:

Here are the results




*The theoretical odds of going into overtime are lower than that of actually going into overtime**; there are a few specific things that have to happen to make the game sum to zero - the rankings are still valid though.

**End-of-40-minutes Game-scores fall under the normal distribution, but there is a significant dip around zero.