Here are some more numbers to help you make your picks:
"EW" means expected wins ('opening' round not included).
-Overall odds in the original efficiency simulation
-Overall odds in the LRMC simulation
-Consistency values (for each tournament team) - higher means more inconsistent
I am currently running a new efficiency simulation that uses a different formula than before to predict Percent Chance of Win.
Also, here is a quick rundown by Dean Oliver on why slow-paced teams like Wisconsin increase their likelihood of losing to less efficient teams.
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