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ELRS

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So....some people say the 3-point shot is inconsistent. I tend to agree, at least a little bit. So I have come up with a rating system that ...

Selection Sunday Predictions....

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I know this is a long ways off, but I enjoy using kenpom.com's expected record (often vs. realtimerpi.com's rankings) to figure out ...

WFU v. Duke, Part II: Weaknesses

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Duke's Weaknesses: #1: Shot defense This may be counter-intuitive, as Duke has one of the best AVERAGES for defensive efficiency in the ...

Duke v. WFU, UPDATED AGAIN

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COMPLETELY UPDATED: WOOPS. I thought the game was at Duke. And I had entered the pace incorrectly. Accuscore: Wake, 78-76, (60%-40%) Kenpom:...

16-8-4-1

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Based on the predicted NCAA tournament bracket by Joe Lunardi ( http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology ) Using Kenpom.com's data. Le...

One problem with kenpom.com

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Is that teams play towards a specific point margin, not a specific efficiency margin, and especially not a specific point margin. A good exa...

nathan's sweet 16

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if the brackets were to be split up where these teams were the appropriate 1-4 seeds, this would be my sweet 16, elite 8, and final four ...

Clemson @ UNC

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iHistorically, Clemson has a 0% chance of winning. They have never won in the Dean Dome. But here are the computer-predicted scores/% chance...

Right now....

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Right now, Duke is the best team in the nation . So who has the best chance of beating them? ...

Effective Efficiency

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This measures the predicted minimum number of possessions an average team would need near the end to come back and beat the team listed. As ...

Hmmmmm.....

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Kenpom has made a "Fanmatch" formula, to find which games will BE THE MOST EXCITING....which sounds a bit familiar to my last post...

The Underr/Overrateds, and UNC-Duke, continued

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4 Underrateds, and 1 Overrated: 1. Gonzaga - Polls: Unranked, Kenpom.com: #2 The Zags have gradually shown their prowess again after losing ...

Why Pitt would beat UNC in the NCAA tournament, but UNC has a better chance of getting to the finals.

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short answer: because UNC has a faster paced-game long answer: UNC has a greater chance of making the game a higher scoring margin, and ther...

Wake Forest v. UNC pt II

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Here's the motivating factors: Wake Forest: -wants to prove that they should have been televised(this is their first televised game) -wa...

How To Predict The Final Score

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I have a program that can do this pretty automatically, but you can do it on your own! There are five steps to finding the final score of an...
3 comments:

Wake Forest - North Carolina Game Preview

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Wow, this one's gonna be close. The official Kenpom Prediction is 84-83 , Wake Forest wins. My formula now makes a very slight adjustmen...

Nathan's Normal Distribution Formula

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Here's the jist of my formula: I take the statistic of Points Per Possession scored and scored against any given team (adjusted for how ...