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how often does a team do better after doing worse, and vice versa

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yes, I have made a stat for this (% of sinusoidality) for the top 5 teams Memphis - 76% North Carolina - 79% Pittsburgh - 63% Connecticut - ...

Upset Watch!

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"Upset" watch for today. (Games that Kenpom predicts to be the opposite of what the polls say---just click any team to see the pr...

Memphis, #1?

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I have an immense amount of trust in kenpom.com and the LRMC's ranking systems. In head-to-head, I will almost always choose what kenpom...

Predicted NCAA performance

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Here are the top 10 kenpom.com teams, ranked by my predicted bad day, average day, and good day performance (in predicted point margin again...

The REAL Winehouse Factor

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Kenpom.com and basketball prospectus have a statistic called the "winehouse factor." Unfortunately, it is based on statistics tha...

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Cool Ranking System: Effective Points Per Possession (or, Kenpom'd RPI) http://lazydrumhead.googlepages.com/kenpomRPI.html

Well

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Good job Heels.....you knocked Duke off their #1 spot on kenpom.com and took it for yourself. Now for a fun look at player efficiency vs. po...

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I finalized a prediction method today, using Kenpom's stats and how teams perform under those given stats. Maybe tomorrow I'll get t...

Sad teams

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Just some guessin: Here is a list of top 64 teams (from kenpom.com) that probably aren't going to get an at-large NCAA tourney bid. #23-...

UNC vs. Duke: game plan

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Duke is predicted to win by five on Wednesday. I hope not. But it sure is looking that way. But lets look at the game-makers. For UNC: #1: F...

Really? I mean, really?

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1) Wake Forest....really? 27 points? To Miami??? Really? 2) Duke.......really? 27 points? To Clemson??? Really? 3) Marquette....really? Sout...

ELRS

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So....some people say the 3-point shot is inconsistent. I tend to agree, at least a little bit. So I have come up with a rating system that ...

Selection Sunday Predictions....

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I know this is a long ways off, but I enjoy using kenpom.com's expected record (often vs. realtimerpi.com's rankings) to figure out ...

WFU v. Duke, Part II: Weaknesses

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Duke's Weaknesses: #1: Shot defense This may be counter-intuitive, as Duke has one of the best AVERAGES for defensive efficiency in the ...

Duke v. WFU, UPDATED AGAIN

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COMPLETELY UPDATED: WOOPS. I thought the game was at Duke. And I had entered the pace incorrectly. Accuscore: Wake, 78-76, (60%-40%) Kenpom:...

16-8-4-1

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Based on the predicted NCAA tournament bracket by Joe Lunardi ( http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology ) Using Kenpom.com's data. Le...

One problem with kenpom.com

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Is that teams play towards a specific point margin, not a specific efficiency margin, and especially not a specific point margin. A good exa...

nathan's sweet 16

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if the brackets were to be split up where these teams were the appropriate 1-4 seeds, this would be my sweet 16, elite 8, and final four ...

Clemson @ UNC

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iHistorically, Clemson has a 0% chance of winning. They have never won in the Dean Dome. But here are the computer-predicted scores/% chance...

Right now....

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Right now, Duke is the best team in the nation . So who has the best chance of beating them? ...