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2015 Bracket Cheat Sheet
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Not predicting the unpredictable.
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I do not have any magical power that will tell you how the unpredictable things in this tournament will play out. I can't tell you what ...
Some things to note.
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I ran about 5,000 simulations of the bracket today in Excel, to find who was most likely to win the championship (the math was a little too ...
2 comments:
Info on The Bracket-Maker
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In order to use the bracketmaker, you must have Microsoft Excel or Openoffice Calc. To purchase it, click the "Buy" button up at t...
The day has come!
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My random-bracket generator is complete! Five bucks! Ok, now here's the picture you need to see:
Oh my goodness....
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Joe Lunardi is picking the FIFTH-best conference to get the most NCAA tourney bids. • Big Ten (7): Michigan State, Illinois, Purdue, Wiscon...
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NCAA Basketball Stats
Overrated/Underrated, continued.
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I've been reading up on ESPN's "Giant Killer" stuff (I am using my 30-day trial for INsider) and they make some pretty goo...
wahoo!
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my bracket-maker is pretty much ready! once selection sunday is over, I can put in the data and have it spit out random brackets! Cool featu...
Weighted Goodness
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Here's a pretty rough ranking of mine for the top teams in the country, based on the best 3 predictors of NCAA tournament performance: A...
LAZY
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Here are the top 10 teams from Kenpom.com, sorted by Provable Laziness The definition of lazy here is: "A lazy team stops playing defen...
Ups and Downs...
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The under and overseeded. Here's how I figger: Seeding prediction: http://insider.espn.go.com/ncb/bracketology How good they really are...
Fifteen.
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Fifteen = The number of teams predicted to finish within 6 points of Memphis (the #1 Kenpom team). Fourteen = The number of teams predicted ...
how often does a team do better after doing worse, and vice versa
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yes, I have made a stat for this (% of sinusoidality) for the top 5 teams Memphis - 76% North Carolina - 79% Pittsburgh - 63% Connecticut - ...
Upset Watch!
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"Upset" watch for today. (Games that Kenpom predicts to be the opposite of what the polls say---just click any team to see the pr...
Memphis, #1?
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I have an immense amount of trust in kenpom.com and the LRMC's ranking systems. In head-to-head, I will almost always choose what kenpom...
Predicted NCAA performance
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Here are the top 10 kenpom.com teams, ranked by my predicted bad day, average day, and good day performance (in predicted point margin again...
The REAL Winehouse Factor
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Kenpom.com and basketball prospectus have a statistic called the "winehouse factor." Unfortunately, it is based on statistics tha...
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Cool Ranking System: Effective Points Per Possession (or, Kenpom'd RPI) http://lazydrumhead.googlepages.com/kenpomRPI.html
Well
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Good job Heels.....you knocked Duke off their #1 spot on kenpom.com and took it for yourself. Now for a fun look at player efficiency vs. po...
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I finalized a prediction method today, using Kenpom's stats and how teams perform under those given stats. Maybe tomorrow I'll get t...
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