Let's try this jam out on UNC. The best way to predict a team's four factors in a future game is to create a linear regression invol...

The best way to predict point margin is to first predict a team's four factors, then convert the four factors into point margin via line...

Here's how UNC's injuries have affected their play, in terms of points. The number represents how Carolina does versus their average...

I told my friend Stephen that Kentucky will not be a 1-seed come tournament time. That was a pretty dumb thing to say I picked the top few t...

By doing some simple multiplication and division of stats from kenpom.com , we can estimate the mean/median/expected number of seconds left ...

I adjusted Ken Pomeroy's 100 most efficient college players (with a minimum of 40% minutes played) for opponents' quality of defense...

Ken Pomeroy's Stats predict Carolina to lose to Texas by 20 points. Here's my basic info you need to know on these 2 teams: 1) Texa...

Here is a link to my statistical rating of college basketball teams, according to my best possible model given the stats I currently have (w...

Carolina is beating their opponents by .36 points per possession in the first half of their games. But in the second half, they average -.04...

Rather than using the standard model for plus-minus, I am going to start using one of my own, which I will test on data I get on the homesch...

UNC vs FIU based on simple stats predicted by Accuscore.com efficiencies: FIU: 77 UNC: 113

The Rating Percentage Index, or 'RPI' is College Basketball's tamer BCS computer system (i.e. - it's unfair). By weighting t...

Ken Pomeroy and the LRMC (logistic regression-markov chain) models for predicting NCAA winners are both incredibly accurate, but they both h...

I finally bought Dean Oliver's book, "Basketball on Paper" -- and I think I am onto a breakthrough! Dean Oliver actually uses ...

Much of my conjecture over my past few post has been flawed, but at least it's an attempt in growing. Here, I will lay out the foundatio...

  Nathan's Most Efficient Basketball Players                             THA/48=Teammate Help Added Every 48 Minutes Played   PHA/48=Per...

Point Margin Above Replacement Player, or PMARP, and its adjusted counterpart, EMARP FM=Final Margin (of your team) Net=points scored - poin...

Here's the formula, with an explanation of what it is and how it works. What it is: This represents how many points a player is worth (h...

Wahoo! I've just invented a formula for a Player's Efficiency Margin! Now I need to get back to work.....

I haven't had a chance to adjust for tempo, but here are my ten most valuable and ten best NBA players, according to how many points the...