By taking the simulated # of wins (via kenpom.com's numbers) and average wins for a given seed, we can rate who will have the best perfo...

Here is my preliminary results of my bracket simulation, based on stats from Kenpom.com http://dl.dropbox.com/u/241759/MidwestWest.html (not...

Here we'll be taking a look at what is likely to alter a team's predicted final score (based on Ken Pomeroy's rankings - http://...

NCAA tournament upset watch: Murray State and Pittsburgh are the two teams who will likely be mis-seeded the worst: http://dl.dropbox.com/u/...

While I think using the four factors can give us a much better picture of point-margin (and therefore, chance of win), let's just look a...

Let's try this jam out on UNC. The best way to predict a team's four factors in a future game is to create a linear regression invol...

The best way to predict point margin is to first predict a team's four factors, then convert the four factors into point margin via line...

Here's how UNC's injuries have affected their play, in terms of points. The number represents how Carolina does versus their average...

I told my friend Stephen that Kentucky will not be a 1-seed come tournament time. That was a pretty dumb thing to say I picked the top few t...

By doing some simple multiplication and division of stats from kenpom.com , we can estimate the mean/median/expected number of seconds left ...

I adjusted Ken Pomeroy's 100 most efficient college players (with a minimum of 40% minutes played) for opponents' quality of defense...

Ken Pomeroy's Stats predict Carolina to lose to Texas by 20 points. Here's my basic info you need to know on these 2 teams: 1) Texa...

Here is a link to my statistical rating of college basketball teams, according to my best possible model given the stats I currently have (w...

Carolina is beating their opponents by .36 points per possession in the first half of their games. But in the second half, they average -.04...

Rather than using the standard model for plus-minus, I am going to start using one of my own, which I will test on data I get on the homesch...

UNC vs FIU based on simple stats predicted by Accuscore.com efficiencies: FIU: 77 UNC: 113

The Rating Percentage Index, or 'RPI' is College Basketball's tamer BCS computer system (i.e. - it's unfair). By weighting t...

Ken Pomeroy and the LRMC (logistic regression-markov chain) models for predicting NCAA winners are both incredibly accurate, but they both h...

I finally bought Dean Oliver's book, "Basketball on Paper" -- and I think I am onto a breakthrough! Dean Oliver actually uses ...