I've updated my Offensive Decision% formula to include Offensive Rebounds. A field goal attempt is now only considered one 'decision...

I have previously done work on estimating how much statistics (specifically, the Four Factors + 2 more) impact efficiency. My prior method ...

Just put together another round of player offensive ratings - data via KenPom.com . It adjusts for quality of defense and usage% - the final...

This is using my pre-tournament LRMC simulation from last year. See my last blog post for the method,. I still haven't come up with a g...

This is going to be a shortish post considering the amount of new analysis I'm introducing, but I would like to start offering some tool...

Finally, some good old fashioned statistics that don't have really good theory behind them! Often-times, when I'm watching a basketb...

EDIT/UPDATE: This formula, like Dean Oliver's is based on some good theory, but as I have examined it more, it is a very poor measure o...

EDIT: I accidentally named Strickland in the paragraph on defensive plus-minus rather than Drew. Now fixed. The North Carolina Tar Heels jus...

The following my listing of projected NCAA seed ( from RPIforecast.com ) versus LRMC seed ( LRMC ranking + .75): NCAAlove.PDF Maryland stil...

I am constantly frustrated by the current basketball community's lack of love for FG%. In Pomeroy's analysis, he looked at a very s...

Here are the 15 teams that reside just below the bubble for the NCAA tournament according to rpiforecast.com. (at large rank) Team, Conf., L...

pdf - Player Trades that would Maximize Team Wins for the last half of the season. corresponding messy excel sheet EDIT: I forgot to to the ...

Overrated / Underrated Teams, ranked by average difference in Humans (avg AP & ESPN polls) and Computers (average LRMC and Ken Pomeroy r...

Firstly, sorry for the lack of updates. I've had a lot of personal projects in other areas that I've been working on lately. But don...

EDIT: I fixed the strength of schedule-adjustment. Sorry, no team analysis today. Too few games have been played for me to feel comfortable ...

If you look at the data from the NCAA four factors analysis (in my prior posts and in David Hess' posts ) you might be thinking, correct...

I know I haven't recently been naming any teams, any players, or any specific cases...be patient! Per David Hess's suggestion, I am...

Lots of credit here goes to David Hess (aka @AudacityOfHoops ) for his work on a simple estimation of how turnover effect efficiency. Check ...

EDIT/UPDATE: This old formula has some truth to it, but I have a much more accurate method of describing this, as described in the College B...

100th post! Hoorah! This blog and twitter have given me a wee voice with which to share the math that runs through my head. Holla to my loya...