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2015 Bracket Cheat Sheet
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Heels vs. Badgers, Predicted Four-Factors
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Hey, that title kinda rhymes. I've been trying to create adjusted four-factors for quite a while now, and I've finally settled on...
Introducing The Holy Grail II: Offense & Defense (featuring UNC v. UNLV)
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Accurate +/- data thanks to Adrian Atkinson ( @freeportkid on twitter), editor of the Tar Heel Tip-off. In this year's College Basket...
Tidy Text: Top Teams' Toughness Tabulation, 11/28/2011
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Here's a quick look at how the top-ten-Pomeroy teams are faring early in the season. I took each team's wins, and adjusted them...
The Media Audit 11/16/11: "Commodores," "Bruins," and other words one would rarely use outside discussing NCAA sport.
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Stuck inside with a terrible cold, so we get a blog post! Today we are going to look at the following three 'claims' by media or po...
"My Team Should be #4, not #10!"
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Howdy, folks. Just thought you should know that we can demonstrate, mathematically, that there is little observable difference between tea...
College Basketball Prospectus 2011-2012
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It's out! I am very proud to be listed as a contributor on this book alongside some of my favorite sportswriters/statisticians/sport...
Why John Henson Scares Me
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EDIT: Hello, people from The Devil's Den. Aptly-titled! Just an FYI, I ran my NBA-style regression on these numbers (which I used to get...
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Hope everyone's having a great summer...
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Down with the RPI!!!
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Adjusted Player "dWin%"
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This is, as far as I know, the first publicly available Adjusted "Win%" metric for NBA players. For a quick refresher, here'...
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NBAdraft.net Top 20, By NCAA Offense
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NBAdraft.Net's top 20 College Picks ranked by Offensive Efficiency and Effective Offensive Size Based on Adjusted Offensive Plus...
The Supporting Cast picks up The German's Slack - Game 6
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LeBron had a bad day - but so did Dirk. Bosh, Chalmers, and Wade are the only Miami players who appear to have a positive impact. Raw E...
The Biggest Game of Lebron James' life...was awful.
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Dallas won by 9 points, which is 10.4 points per 100 possessions. I split credit of the team's point margin in half, adjusted for pac...
Another Look @ Game 3
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based on Engalmann's latest adjustement to Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus raw est APM(100) =Estimate of adjusted +/- per 100 adj es...
Game 3! (Somewhat late...)
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The formula is confused as to how Dallas lost. (Total contrib of around 11 versus Miami's 6). Miami leads, 2-1. team Players ORtg ...
Game 2! (Very late...)
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I finally came up with a formula that helps regress crazy values (i.e. Dirk off the court was worth -100 points per 100 possessions in game ...
GAME 1, NBA FINALS
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Wayne Winston & more recently Kevin Pelton like to use +/- in their discussions on player performance. But Statistical plus-minus geeks ...
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Recent Tw-happenings
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I've been posting all kinds of nonsense to twitter lately. Here are some of the more informative tweets: 1) Lineup stuff: J.E. has...
Most (& Least) Valuable Players in the 2011 Playoffs, Pre-Finals Edition
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EDIT: I have also posted the most & least efficient players to Google Docs (as many of the poor performances don't make it into th...
NBA PLAYOFF PLAYER RATINGS as of 5/24
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Earlier today, I made a prediction formula (regression) that predicts a player's Adjusted Plus-Minus based only on the advanced stats wh...
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