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2015 Bracket Cheat Sheet
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NCAA Teams' Bench Impact
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Bench Impact = estimated total Bench Rating per 100 possessions x %Minutes - estimated Starters' Rating per 100 possessions x %Minutes ...
Top 25 Players as of 1/18/2011
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I have adjusted minutes% for teammate quality and injuries (I factor back in minutes played above or below what we would expect a coach to p...
Top 25 Freshies, as of 1/11/2012
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EDIT: Misleading title. This only includes games through 1/11, not 1/13. By team impact (estimated efficiency margin impact times % of posse...
Top 51 Overall NCAA Players as of 1/10
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Games through 1/10. Team Impact = ( Estimated Efficiency Impact per 100 possessions) x (% of Possessions played in) Where offensive and d...
No Apologies, Just Numbers
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Okay, some apologies. My prior post has sparked a little bit of interest/intrigue/outrage/fear among college basketball fans. Never fe...
The Holy Grail 2.5: NCAA Player Ratings (1/4/2012)
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EDIT: I have updated my methodology and made things a little easier to understand, I hope: http://www.thebasketballdistribution.com/2012/0...
NCAA Power Ratings
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I now have my own usually-updated NCAA power ratings . (Located at the top of the page). These are simply based on point margin, and I adj...
The Major-Conference Offensive Impact Leaders
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Pretty self-explanatory. I've made a few important corrections to the formula recently.* Must have played 40% of minutes to qualify. ...
Indiana great. Gonzaga good. Cal mediocre.
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This is my original method for rating teams after which my blog is named, although I've never done league-wide rankings.The normal dis...
A Terrible Blog Post About Murray St.
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Data from Statsheet.com and Kenpom.com Don't have time to write more at the moment. This was made using the formula from Holy Gra...
5 comments:
Top 10 Offensive Impact Players, as of 12/2
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I've updated the formula slightly * since I wrote the essay for the College Basketball Prospectus preview this year. Offensive Rating...
Why North Carolina Will Win The National Championship
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Because John Henson is magic. "Whhhhhhhhh" "OKAY! YOU CAN HAVE IT!"
Heels vs. Badgers, Predicted Four-Factors
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Hey, that title kinda rhymes. I've been trying to create adjusted four-factors for quite a while now, and I've finally settled on...
Introducing The Holy Grail II: Offense & Defense (featuring UNC v. UNLV)
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Accurate +/- data thanks to Adrian Atkinson ( @freeportkid on twitter), editor of the Tar Heel Tip-off. In this year's College Basket...
Tidy Text: Top Teams' Toughness Tabulation, 11/28/2011
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Here's a quick look at how the top-ten-Pomeroy teams are faring early in the season. I took each team's wins, and adjusted them...
The Media Audit 11/16/11: "Commodores," "Bruins," and other words one would rarely use outside discussing NCAA sport.
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Stuck inside with a terrible cold, so we get a blog post! Today we are going to look at the following three 'claims' by media or po...
"My Team Should be #4, not #10!"
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Howdy, folks. Just thought you should know that we can demonstrate, mathematically, that there is little observable difference between tea...
College Basketball Prospectus 2011-2012
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It's out! I am very proud to be listed as a contributor on this book alongside some of my favorite sportswriters/statisticians/sport...
Why John Henson Scares Me
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EDIT: Hello, people from The Devil's Den. Aptly-titled! Just an FYI, I ran my NBA-style regression on these numbers (which I used to get...
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Hope everyone's having a great summer...
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Down with the RPI!!!
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