SORRY FOR THE DELAY. I have been hired by the Losangephoenix Spurockets to do basketballysis! Just kidding. I've actually been prett...

If you're like me, and you run regressions of statistics against multi-year regularized-adjusted plus-minus in your spare time, you'...

SLEASY% (Super-Lazy-Estimate-of-Assisted-Shots,Yo%) Based on Dean Oliver's realization that a player's % of shots assisted on is ext...

Sweeter than condensed milk. Jibber-Jabber: I don't hate Calipari a lot this year... Hoos Your Simple March Madness Playlist Numbers...

Why yes, it is the most wonderful time of the year. I've simulated the NCAA tournament 10,000 times with the following specifications ...

Before we begin: credit to the numbers here go out to Daniel Myers @DSMok1  and his NCAA statistical plus-minus sheet. I have my own version...

...therefore not all points predict the future equally.

Dean Oliver's four-factors are well-understood in how they impact the game. To figure this out, people usually run a regression of ...

"The Nation's Best Point Guard" apparently. I did a very quick study on how conferences/teams are underrated or overrat...

Via InfographicWorld Click image to enlarge Source: Infographic World

UNC's Blue Steel scrubs. Photo 100% stolen from ESPN.com There is a fairly straightforward, rule-of-thumb way that I have used in th...

Bench Impact = estimated total Bench Rating per 100 possessions x %Minutes - estimated Starters' Rating per 100 possessions x %Minutes ...

I have adjusted minutes% for teammate quality and injuries (I factor back in minutes played above or below what we would expect a coach to p...

EDIT: Misleading title. This only includes games through 1/11, not 1/13. By team impact (estimated efficiency margin impact times % of posse...

Games through 1/10. Team Impact = ( Estimated Efficiency Impact per 100 possessions) x (% of Possessions played in) Where offensive and d...

Okay, some  apologies. My prior post has sparked a little bit of interest/intrigue/outrage/fear among college basketball fans. Never fe...

EDIT: I have updated my methodology and made things a little easier to understand, I hope:   http://www.thebasketballdistribution.com/2012/0...

I now have my own usually-updated NCAA power ratings . (Located at the top of the page). These are simply based on point margin, and I adj...

Pretty self-explanatory. I've made a few important corrections to the formula recently.* Must have played 40% of minutes to qualify. ...

This is my original method for rating teams after which my blog is named, although I've never done league-wide rankings.The normal dis...