Here are the players with the most Wins Above Replacement (expanded to 82 games) for under $1 million. This is based on my new Adjusted Rati...

Hey All! Using Dean Oliver's formula for estimated "assisted-shot%" (recounted here ) and some other basic stats, I've c...

Happy NBA day everyone! There are three different projections I have here. - First is "playoff adjusted efficiency differential" ...

Changes -Slight somewhat arbitrary adjustment for Usage (i.e. Brooklyn's 112% usage ain't gonna work). -Beasley's minutes cut f...

I'll go ahead and admit right off the bat that this does not pass the laugh test. For obvious reasons (Miami), my projections will make...

MATH: I created a model based on aging curve, regression to the mean, and regression towards prior performance (up to 3 seasons in the past...

Assuming that the final four teams in the NBA playoffs are Miami, Indiana, San Antonio, and Memphis, (a big assumption) there are only 14 pl...

Here are the results of my latest 10,000 simulations of the tournament. Notable Notes: Expected number of double-digit seeds in the ...

Alright...so I did another 10,000 simulations, but I used a combination of my luck-adjustments and Ken Pomeroy's strength of schedule t...

I simulated the NCAA tournament 10,000 times based on the LRMC ratings . Just a pure-point-margin version of Ken Pomeroy's table.  Use ...

YOU SEE ME RUNNIN' THROUGH THAT OPEN DOOOOR . Before I begin, I must honor the fact that I am a die-hard Carolina fan. I bleed Carol...

All-Underrated Squad Nate Robinson, PG Andre Iguodala, SG Thaddeus Young, SF Nick Collison, PF Kevin Garnett, C All-Overrated Squad ...

Welcome, all! Here I will be grading players according to their estimated offensive and defensive impacts (using my per-100-possession stat,...

SORRY FOR THE DELAY. I have been hired by the Losangephoenix Spurockets to do basketballysis! Just kidding. I've actually been prett...

If you're like me, and you run regressions of statistics against multi-year regularized-adjusted plus-minus in your spare time, you'...

SLEASY% (Super-Lazy-Estimate-of-Assisted-Shots,Yo%) Based on Dean Oliver's realization that a player's % of shots assisted on is ext...

Sweeter than condensed milk. Jibber-Jabber: I don't hate Calipari a lot this year... Hoos Your Simple March Madness Playlist Numbers...

Why yes, it is the most wonderful time of the year. I've simulated the NCAA tournament 10,000 times with the following specifications ...

Before we begin: credit to the numbers here go out to Daniel Myers @DSMok1  and his NCAA statistical plus-minus sheet. I have my own version...

...therefore not all points predict the future equally.