OK. So I love this game, Flappy Bird. It's insanely stupid. But my friends and I are playing it and competing over our best scores. ...

Minimum 25% of team's minutes played. (For teams with particularly great or terrible defense, or for whom SPR does not explain their rat...

Here are the players with the most Wins Above Replacement (expanded to 82 games) for under $1 million. This is based on my new Adjusted Rati...

Hey All! Using Dean Oliver's formula for estimated "assisted-shot%" (recounted here ) and some other basic stats, I've c...

Happy NBA day everyone! There are three different projections I have here. - First is "playoff adjusted efficiency differential" ...

Changes -Slight somewhat arbitrary adjustment for Usage (i.e. Brooklyn's 112% usage ain't gonna work). -Beasley's minutes cut f...

I'll go ahead and admit right off the bat that this does not pass the laugh test. For obvious reasons (Miami), my projections will make...

MATH: I created a model based on aging curve, regression to the mean, and regression towards prior performance (up to 3 seasons in the past...

Assuming that the final four teams in the NBA playoffs are Miami, Indiana, San Antonio, and Memphis, (a big assumption) there are only 14 pl...

Here are the results of my latest 10,000 simulations of the tournament. Notable Notes: Expected number of double-digit seeds in the ...

Alright...so I did another 10,000 simulations, but I used a combination of my luck-adjustments and Ken Pomeroy's strength of schedule t...