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2015 Bracket Cheat Sheet
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NBAdraft.net Top 20, By NCAA Offense
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NBAdraft.Net's top 20 College Picks ranked by Offensive Efficiency and Effective Offensive Size Based on Adjusted Offensive Plus...
The Supporting Cast picks up The German's Slack - Game 6
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LeBron had a bad day - but so did Dirk. Bosh, Chalmers, and Wade are the only Miami players who appear to have a positive impact. Raw E...
The Biggest Game of Lebron James' life...was awful.
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Dallas won by 9 points, which is 10.4 points per 100 possessions. I split credit of the team's point margin in half, adjusted for pac...
Another Look @ Game 3
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based on Engalmann's latest adjustement to Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus raw est APM(100) =Estimate of adjusted +/- per 100 adj es...
Game 3! (Somewhat late...)
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The formula is confused as to how Dallas lost. (Total contrib of around 11 versus Miami's 6). Miami leads, 2-1. team Players ORtg ...
Game 2! (Very late...)
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I finally came up with a formula that helps regress crazy values (i.e. Dirk off the court was worth -100 points per 100 possessions in game ...
GAME 1, NBA FINALS
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Wayne Winston & more recently Kevin Pelton like to use +/- in their discussions on player performance. But Statistical plus-minus geeks ...
1 comment:
Recent Tw-happenings
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I've been posting all kinds of nonsense to twitter lately. Here are some of the more informative tweets: 1) Lineup stuff: J.E. has...
Most (& Least) Valuable Players in the 2011 Playoffs, Pre-Finals Edition
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EDIT: I have also posted the most & least efficient players to Google Docs (as many of the poor performances don't make it into th...
NBA PLAYOFF PLAYER RATINGS as of 5/24
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Earlier today, I made a prediction formula (regression) that predicts a player's Adjusted Plus-Minus based only on the advanced stats wh...
Win Shares per 48 Minutes versus Easy Player Ratings
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Since Win-Shares per 48 minutes and my Easy Player Ratings use the exact same data (although EPR also adds minutes per game) to calculate p...
1 comment:
Easy Player Rating System!
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As a basketball statistician, I am thoroughly obsessed with Jeremias Engalmann's Adjusted Plus-Minus numbers. As a basketball fan, I re...
Updated Playoff Odds, 4/29
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All first-round series except San Antonio/Memphis have been decided. Serieses? Easiest battle is Chicago over Atlanta in 5. Closest se...
Not Exactly On Hiatus
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Hello all! I am currently finishing up my 8th semester at Appalachian State, and graduating in a couple of weeks. I've been busy with...
1 comment:
Playoff Odds as of April 8th
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I simulated the NBA playoffs, under a few assumptions. 1) Memphis makes the playoffs 2) There are no tie-breakers and teams are seeded ac...
Dirk for MVP!
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The boys over at the APBR metrics board are asking who should be MVP. I think that if we use the ridge-adjusted plus minus ratings, we can g...
1 comment:
My Lazy Lazy Lazy Lazy RPI
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EDIT/UPDATE: I'm not very happy with the math here. I have constructed a very lazy RPI, that is more theoretically sound than the RPI. ...
Here We Go!!! (Into overtime!)
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The (real) NCAA tournament starts in about one hour. To kick it off, I present my Overtime% for the first round. Each game is ranked by th...
Updated Bracket Picks (Expected Wins)
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I've updated the LRMC simulation to only include Clemson, and weaken BYU & Belmont (by the equivalent of 1 point per 100 possessions...
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Top Final Fours
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The majority of huge-pool winners accurately predict the Final Four...here is a sampling of the top (seven) possible final fours that my LRM...
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