I've been posting all kinds of nonsense to twitter lately. Here are some of the more informative tweets: 1) Lineup stuff:   J.E. has...

EDIT: I have also posted the most & least efficient players to Google Docs (as many of the poor performances don't make it into th...

Earlier today, I made a prediction formula (regression) that predicts a player's Adjusted Plus-Minus based only on the advanced stats wh...

Since Win-Shares per 48 minutes and my Easy Player Ratings use the exact same data (although EPR also adds minutes per game) to calculate p...

As a basketball statistician, I am thoroughly obsessed with Jeremias Engalmann's Adjusted Plus-Minus numbers. As a basketball fan, I re...

All first-round series except San Antonio/Memphis have been decided. Serieses? Easiest battle is Chicago over Atlanta in 5. Closest se...

Hello all! I am currently finishing up my 8th semester at Appalachian State, and graduating in a couple of weeks. I've been busy with...

I simulated the NBA playoffs, under a few assumptions. 1) Memphis makes the playoffs 2) There are no tie-breakers and teams are seeded ac...

The boys over at the APBR metrics board are asking who should be MVP. I think that if we use the ridge-adjusted plus minus ratings, we can g...

EDIT/UPDATE: I'm not very happy with the math here. I have constructed a very lazy RPI, that is more theoretically sound than the RPI. ...

The (real) NCAA tournament starts in about one hour. To kick it off, I present my Overtime% for the first round. Each game is ranked by th...

I've updated the LRMC simulation to only include Clemson, and weaken BYU & Belmont (by the equivalent of 1 point per 100 possessions...

The majority of huge-pool winners accurately predict the Final Four...here is a sampling of the top (seven) possible final fours that my LRM...

Here are  some more numbers to help you make your picks: "EW" means expected wins ('opening' round not included). -Over...

This post is dedicated to my Mother, who wants my tournament picks :-D. I have looked at every pick and noted its overall value in ESPN'...

Wow, what a bracket. I'll be very quick here (forgive me if I miss something important) , as I've got to get moving on my official p...

As it gets down to crunch time for the teams who are on the bubble, and as the 68-team-field will be together in under 100 hours, I present ...

There are several teams who simultaneously impress statistical rankings, but do not impress poll-rankings. Here are all the teams who are in...

I've updated my Offensive Decision% formula to include Offensive Rebounds. A field goal attempt is now only considered one 'decision...

I have previously done work on estimating how much statistics (specifically, the Four Factors + 2 more) impact efficiency. My prior method ...