Team Impact = (Estimated Efficiency Impact per 100 possessions) x (% of Possessions played in)
Where offensive and defensive efficiency impacts are estimated* by using offensive and defensive rating (& offensive usage%) at sports-reference.com, and strength of schedule from kenpom.com.
rank | player | team | conf | Offensive Impact (100) | Defensive Impact (100) | Total Impact (100) | Team Impact | Min% |
1 | Damian Lillard | Weber State | Big Sky | 13.5 | -0.4 | 13.1 | 11.0 | 84% |
2 | Kevin Jones | West Virginia | Big East | 7.9 | 2.2 | 10.1 | 9.1 | 90% |
3 | Doug McDermott | Creighton | MVC | 11.1 | -0.6 | 10.5 | 8.1 | 77% |
4 | Dominique Morrison | Oral Roberts | Summit | 9.0 | -0.1 | 8.9 | 7.9 | 89% |
5 | Jared Sullinger | Ohio State | Big Ten | 8.0 | 4.8 | 12.8 | 7.8 | 61% |
6 | Marcus Denmon | Missouri | Big 12 | 9.1 | 0.7 | 9.8 | 7.8 | 80% |
7 | Isaiah Canaan | Murray State | OVC | 8.9 | 0.6 | 9.5 | 7.5 | 79% |
8 | Will Barton | Memphis | CUSA | 6.7 | 1.7 | 8.4 | 7.3 | 87% |
9 | Thomas Robinson | Kansas | Big 12 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 9.3 | 7.2 | 77% |
10 | Kenny Boynton | Florida | SEC | 10.0 | -0.8 | 9.2 | 7.2 | 78% |
11 | Mike Scott | Virginia | ACC | 7.5 | 2.1 | 9.6 | 7.0 | 73% |
12 | Jae Crowder | Marquette | Big East | 6.7 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 75% |
13 | Anthony Davis | Kentucky | SEC | 4.2 | 5.2 | 9.4 | 6.8 | 73% |
14 | Cody Zeller | Indiana | Big Ten | 7.1 | 2.5 | 9.6 | 6.5 | 68% |
15 | Nate Wolters | South Dakota State | Summit | 8.2 | -0.6 | 7.6 | 6.4 | 85% |
16 | Jeremy Lamb | Connecticut | Big East | 6.1 | 0.9 | 7.0 | 6.3 | 90% |
17 | Noah Hartsock | Brigham Young | WCC | 5.5 | 2.4 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 79% |
18 | Colt Ryan | Evansville | MVC | 6.8 | 0.1 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 90% |
19 | Jarrod Jones | Ball State | MAC | 6.8 | 1.2 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 78% |
20 | Larry Anderson | Long Beach State | Big West | 5.0 | 2.0 | 7.1 | 6.2 | 87% |
21 | John Jenkins | Vanderbilt | SEC | 7.7 | 0.4 | 8.1 | 6.2 | 76% |
22 | Doron Lamb | Kentucky | SEC | 7.0 | 1.1 | 8.1 | 6.1 | 76% |
23 | Ryan Broekhoff | Valparaiso | Horizon | 7.0 | 0.6 | 7.6 | 6.1 | 80% |
24 | Ryan Kelly | Duke | ACC | 7.8 | 1.9 | 9.6 | 6.0 | 62% |
25 | Hollis Thompson | Georgetown | Big East | 6.4 | 1.5 | 7.9 | 5.9 | 76% |
26 | Deshaun Thomas | Ohio State | Big Ten | 6.0 | 2.4 | 8.4 | 5.9 | 70% |
27 | Kevin Pangos | Gonzaga | WCC | 6.7 | 1.0 | 7.7 | 5.9 | 76% |
28 | Drew Crawford | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6.9 | -0.1 | 6.8 | 5.7 | 85% |
29 | Steven Pledger | Oklahoma | Big 12 | 7.4 | 0.3 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 74% |
30 | Kris Joseph | Syracuse | Big East | 5.6 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 5.6 | 74% |
31 | C.J. McCollum | Lehigh | Patriot | 6.9 | 0.3 | 7.2 | 5.6 | 77% |
32 | Jordan Theodore | Seton Hall | Big East | 4.7 | 1.5 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 90% |
33 | Brian Conklin | Saint Louis | A-10 | 6.3 | 1.4 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 71% |
34 | J'Covan Brown | Texas | Big 12 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 82% |
35 | Reggie Hamilton | Oakland | Summit | 7.8 | -1.2 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 84% |
36 | Chase Tapley | San Diego State | MWC | 5.3 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 5.5 | 80% |
37 | Langston Galloway | Saint Joseph's | A-10 | 5.6 | 0.8 | 6.4 | 5.5 | 85% |
38 | Allen Crabbe | California | Pac-12 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 5.4 | 82% |
39 | John Shurna | Northwestern | Big Ten | 6.0 | 0.1 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 88% |
40 | Deonte Burton | Nevada | WAC | 6.5 | 0.5 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 77% |
41 | Zack Rosen | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 6.1 | -0.3 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 94% |
42 | Erick Green | Virginia Tech | ACC | 6.2 | 0.7 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 77% |
43 | Julian Mavunga | Miami (OH) | MAC | 4.7 | 1.0 | 5.6 | 5.3 | 94% |
44 | Draymond Green | Michigan State | Big Ten | 3.2 | 3.4 | 6.6 | 5.3 | 80% |
45 | Chace Stanback | Nevada-Las Vegas | MWC | 6.5 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 5.3 | 66% |
46 | Anthony Raffa | Coastal Carolina | Big South | 4.7 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 5.2 | 80% |
47 | Robbie Hummel | Purdue | Big Ten | 5.4 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 5.1 | 76% |
48 | Trevor Releford | Alabama | SEC | 4.5 | 2.5 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 73% |
49 | Ricardo Ratliffe | Missouri | Big 12 | 7.3 | 1.4 | 8.7 | 5.1 | 59% |
50 | Robert Covington | Tennessee State | OVC | 6.8 | 0.2 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 73% |
51 | Tyler Zeller | North Carolina | ACC | 4.9 | 3.0 | 7.8 | 5.1 | 65% |
So, Lillard is the primary reason that an otherwise-extremely-mediocre offensive team (Pomeroy subscribers only) is #57th in the Pomeroys for offense. Weber's second-best offensive player (Scott Bamforth) uses 10% usage less, and is 10 points per 100 less efficient.
When I sum up all of Weber State's offensive contributions, we get +14.4. Their adjusted offensive rating is only +8 or so on kenpom.com, so it's my guess that (but if we just fit players' performances to their team ratings, we get some extremely ugly results, so I don't do that...I am basing it on last year's fit for Strength of Schedule, however). Even if we multiply each player's offensive value by 0.6 (which is roughly the same as 8/14.4), Lillard is still a top-25 player.
Mike Scott is still also an extremely good player as far as the eye can see, and is even underrated by his minutes (like Sullinger).
* Not going to reveal the regression equation just yet. Or ever :-)
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