I'm still stuck in the technological dark ages when it comes to sharing content. But I promise my analysis is as _____ as ever!
My simulations take into account rosters (rarely-used players getting less minutes), and luck-adjustment (aka The LeHigh Method which adjusts a team's four factors stats for which ones tend to be "luckier" than others).
Here's the excel sheet with my simulation results.
"PickMe" rating is a combination of three things:
-Which teams are projected to do better than typical seed expectation
-Which teams are highly volatile (can do significantly better than expected)
-The above two, weighted by typical round-by-round scoring (1st: 1, 2nd: 2, 3rd: 4, 4th: 8, 5th: 16, 6th: 32)
All data from sports-reference.com and kenpom.com. Thanks to @DSMok1 for helping me grab the S-R.com data.
- ▼ 2015 (2)
- ► 2013 (12)
- ► 2012 (19)
- ► 2011 (53)
- ► 2010 (25)