My prediction

mean prediction:

Carolina by 7

74 possessions,

	EFG %	TO%	OR%	FTR
north carolina	50.94	17.07	32.37	42.68
michigan st.	48.26	20.69	37.03	32.48

North Carolina - 77% from FT
Michigan St - 71% from FT

In order for Michigan State to win (by two)

71 possessions,

	EFG %	TO%	OR%	FTR
north carolina	48.9	17.75	31.08	40.97
michigan st.	50.19	19.86	38.51	33.78

North Carolina - 71% from FT
Michigan St. - 71% from FT