Simulated Tournament, Luck-Adjusted Style

Alright...so I did another 10,000 simulations, but I used a combination of my luck-adjustments and Ken Pomeroy's strength of schedule to come up with some decent results. Notably, turnovers (offensive and defensive) are far more important here.

		ro32	s16	e8	f4	title game	Champ	exp. Wins
1	Indiana	100%	85%	68%	58%	38%	26%	3.74
2	Florida	99%	81%	64%	43%	24%	15%	3.26
3	Louisville	100%	71%	59%	39%	23%	12%	3.03
4	Gonzaga	100%	67%	49%	33%	21%	11%	2.81
5	Ohio St.	97%	70%	49%	25%	13%	6%	2.60
6	Michigan	92%	73%	48%	25%	13%	7%	2.58
7	Duke	99%	69%	46%	24%	12%	5%	2.55
8	Miami FL	95%	67%	47%	15%	6%	2%	2.32
9	Syracuse	96%	72%	21%	13%	5%	2%	2.09
10	Kansas	99%	62%	29%	11%	4%	2%	2.07
11	Georgetown	97%	63%	19%	8%	3%	1%	1.90
12	Michigan St.	84%	56%	26%	11%	5%	2%	1.83
13	Wisconsin	73%	56%	24%	13%	7%	3%	1.76
14	New Mexico	88%	51%	19%	6%	2%	1%	1.67
15	Marquette	71%	46%	21%	5%	1%	0%	1.44
16	Arizona	73%	39%	15%	5%	2%	0%	1.34
17	Pittsburgh	73%	28%	17%	10%	5%	2%	1.34
18	St. Louis	75%	43%	11%	4%	1%	0%	1.34
19	North Carolina	75%	33%	12%	4%	1%	1%	1.26
20	Creighton	65%	23%	12%	5%	2%	1%	1.08
21	Oklahoma St.	61%	32%	7%	3%	1%	0%	1.04
22	North Carolina St.	74%	13%	7%	4%	1%	0%	0.99
23	Colorado St.	57%	18%	13%	7%	3%	1%	0.99
24	Virginia Commonwealth	67%	19%	8%	2%	1%	0%	0.97
25	Butler	56%	25%	9%	1%	0%	0%	0.91
26	San Diego St.	57%	23%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0.87
27	Kansas St.	60%	20%	4%	1%	0%	0%	0.86
28	Notre Dame	54%	17%	9%	3%	1%	0%	0.83
29	Nevada Las Vegas	59%	18%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0.81
30	Minnesota	58%	12%	6%	2%	1%	0%	0.79
31	Colorado	51%	16%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0.77
32	St. Mary's	44%	21%	8%	3%	1%	0%	0.76
33	Illinois	49%	15%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.73
34	Iowa St.	46%	12%	6%	2%	1%	0%	0.67
35	Bucknell	44%	17%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0.67
36	Missouri	43%	11%	6%	3%	1%	0%	0.64
37	Memphis	42%	15%	4%	1%	0%	0%	0.62
38	Oklahoma	43%	14%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0.60
39	Oregon	39%	17%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0.59
40	UCLA	42%	7%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0.54
41	California	41%	10%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.51
42	Cincinnati	35%	8%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0.46
43	Mississippi	27%	15%	3%	1%	0%	0%	0.46
44	Davidson	29%	13%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.46
45	Akron	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.41
46	Belmont	27%	8%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.37
47	Wichita St.	27%	5%	2%	1%	0%	0%	0.35
48	New Mexico St.	25%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.34
49	Villanova	25%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.32
50	Boise St.	23%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.31
51	Temple	26%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.29
52	Valparaiso	16%	5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.22
53	La Salle	16%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.20
54	Middle Tennessee	14%	4%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.19
55	Harvard	12%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.14
56	South Dakota St.	8%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.10
57	Pacific	5%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.06
58	Montana	4%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.04
59	Florida Gulf Coast	3%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.04
60	Iona	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.04
61	Northwestern St.	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.01
62	Western Kentucky	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.01
63	Albany	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.01
64	Southern	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.00
65	Long Island	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.00
66	North Carolina A&T	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.00
67	Liberty	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.00