The Sweet 16 and Beyond

Here are the results of my latest 10,000 simulations of the tournament.

Notable Notes:

Expected number of double-digit seeds in the Sweet 16:   2.5

Odds of all four 1-seeds making it to the Sweet 16:   27%

Odds of La Salle making it to the Sweet 16:   37%               

reg	sd		s16	e8	f4	title game	Champ	exp. Wins
E	1	Indiana	90%	69%	55%	36%	23%	3.74
S	3	Florida	78%	65%	44%	26%	16%	3.28
W	1	Gonzaga	78%	63%	41%	25%	14%	3.20
MW	1	Louisville	67%	52%	34%	20%	10%	2.83
W	2	Ohio St.	73%	51%	28%	15%	7%	2.74
S	4	Michigan	69%	42%	22%	11%	6%	2.50
MW	2	Duke	64%	41%	22%	11%	5%	2.43
E	2	Miami FL	70%	46%	16%	7%	3%	2.42
W	6	Arizona	82%	33%	13%	5%	1%	2.34
MW	3	Michigan St.	68%	31%	14%	6%	2%	2.21
E	4	Syracuse	76%	24%	13%	5%	2%	2.21
S	7	San Diego St.	82%	21%	7%	2%	1%	2.12
S	1	Kansas	58%	27%	12%	5%	2%	2.05
MW	4	St. Louis	65%	20%	9%	3%	1%	1.98
E	3	Marquette	58%	25%	7%	2%	1%	1.92
W	12	Mississippi	63%	18%	7%	2%	1%	1.92
MW	8	Colorado St.	33%	20%	10%	4%	2%	1.69
S	8	North Carolina	42%	17%	6%	2%	1%	1.68
MW	7	Creighton	36%	19%	8%	3%	1%	1.68
E	6	Butler	42%	15%	3%	1%	0%	1.62
S	5	Virginia Commonwealth	31%	13%	4%	1%	0%	1.51
E	7	Illinois	30%	13%	3%	1%	0%	1.47
W	10	Iowa St.	27%	14%	4%	1%	0%	1.47
W	13	La Salle	37%	7%	2%	0%	0%	1.46
MW	12	Oregon	35%	7%	2%	0%	0%	1.45
MW	6	Memphis	32%	9%	2%	1%	0%	1.43
S	11	Minnesota	22%	13%	5%	1%	0%	1.42
W	9	Wichita St.	22%	12%	4%	1%	0%	1.40
E	12	California	24%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1.28
W	14	Harvard	18%	3%	0%	0%	0%	1.21
S	15	Florida Gulf Coast	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.19
E	9	Temple	10%	3%	1%	0%	0%	1.15