the basketball distribution

I finalized a prediction method today, using Kenpom's stats and how teams perform under those given stats. Maybe tomorrow I'll get the Carolina-Duke prediction finalized.

For now, here are my 3 favorite game-predictors, ranked by how accurate I feel the scores are in general.

1. Kenpom.com: Duke-81, Carolina-76 (69%-31%)

2. LRMC: Carolina wins.

3. Accuscore.com: Carolina-82, Duke-78 (66%-34%)

My normal distribution formula gives:

Duke-59%, Carolina-41%