Not predicting the unpredictable.

I do not have any magical power that will tell you how the unpredictable things in this tournament will play out. I can't tell you what things outside of the norm are going to happen.

But I can tell you some things to watch out for.

One of those is consistency.

Consistency shows how often a team plays as expected. More accurately, you might call it how well Ken Pomeroy's stats (adjusted by me) can predict a team.

So here are the top 25 teams you shouldn't be surprised by when they do something crazy different than their ranking presupposes on Kenpom.com

(16 and 15 seeds not included)

	team	standard deviation from expected point margin
1	cornell	12.96
2	western kentucky	12.59
3	louisville	12.55
4	michigan st.	12.41
5	north carolina	12.31
6	louisiana st.	12.14
7	arizona st.	12.11
8	west virginia	11.94
9	clemson	11.74
10	marquette	11.56
11	gonzaga	11.55
12	tennessee	11.35
13	kansas	11.28
14	akron	11.27
15	maryland	10.98
16	wake forest	10.74
17	michigan	10.73
18	missouri	10.63
19	northern iowa	10.34
20	boston college	10.28
21	syracuse	10.26
22	brigham young	10.22
23	mississippi st.	10.18
24	UCLA	10.17
25	illinois	10.08