Some things to note.

I ran about 5,000 simulations of the bracket today in Excel, to find who was most likely to win the championship (the math was a little too complicated to enter in, so I just made a simulation program).

Here is a short list of some important things to know: http://lazydrumhead.googlepages.com/simresults.html

And here are some other things to note:

1) North Carolina's bracket is ridiculously difficult (Gonzaga and Arizona State are underseeded, and Oklahoma also poses a big threat.

2) I guess you could say that Connecticut's bracket is ridiculously difficult, because Memphis is the overwhelming favorite to win the NC in general.

Here are my top-10 predicted closest games:

1. Marquette v. Missouri - 2nd round

2. ASU v. Oklahoma - Sweet 16

3. Syracuse v. ASU - 2nd round

4. Kansas v. WVU - 2nd round

5. FSU v. Wisconsin - 1st round

6. Louisville v. WVU - elite 8

7. Tennessee v. Oklahoma St. - 1st round

8. Memphis v. Pittsburgh - championship game

9. Washington v. Purdue - 2nd round

10. Gonzaga v. North Carolina - sweet 16