For all your fancy-pants statistical needs.

Praise for The Basketball Distribution:

"...confusing." - CBS
"...quite the pun master." - ESPN

Recency....

I think I need to adjust my ratings for recency! ( http://tinyurl.com/BBstatsNBA )
Here's the sample of the games on Nov. 26th


(Predictions->Games->Updated Predictions)

Predictions (before games) on 11/26:


DENVER>CHICAGO by 3.4
PHOENIX>LA CLIPPERS by 7.7
LA LAKERS>UTAH by .5
MEMPHIS>GOLDEN STATE by 4.1
PORTLAND>NEW ORLEANS by 1.3
ORLANDO>CLEVELAND by 9.8
CHARLOTTE>HOUSTON by 2.8
BOSTON>TORONTO by 8.9
MILWAUKEE>DETROIT by 6.2
MIAMI>PHILADELPHIA by 9.8
INDIANA>OKLAHOMA CITY by 3.3
SAN ANTONIO>DALLAS by 6.3


Actual spreads on 11/26 (*=predicted correctly):

*DENVER>CHICAGO by 1
*PHOENIX>LA CLIPPERS by 8
UTAH>LA LAKERS by 6
*MEMPHIS>GOLDEN STATE by 5
NEW ORLEANS>PORTLAND by 19
*ORLANDO>CLEVELAND by 11
*CHARLOTTE>HOUSTON by 10
*BOSTON>TORONTO by 9
DETROIT>MILWAUKEE by 14
*MIAMI>PHILADELPHIA by 9
OKLAHOMA CITY>INDIANA by 4
DALLAS>SAN ANTONIO by 9

Updated spreads on 11/26 (after inputing actual spreads):
*=retrodictively correct

*DENVER>CHICAGO by 3.1
*PHOENIX>LA CLIPPERS by 7.6
*UTAH>LA LAKERS by .4
GOLDEN STATE>MEMPHIS by 1.6
New Orleans @ Portland = tie
*ORLANDO>CLEVELAND by 9.9
*CHARLOTTE>HOUSTON by 3.6
*BOSTON>TORONTO by 9
*DETROIT>MILWAUKEE by 1.4
*MIAMI>PHILADELPHIA by 9.9
INDIANA>OKLAHOMA CITY by 2.3
SAN ANTONIO>DALLAS by 4.2

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