Happy NBA day everyone!
There are three different projections I have here.
-First is "playoff adjusted efficiency differential" - which estimates how a lineup minutes will alter during the playoffs and adjusts accordingly.
-Second is "regular season eff. differential" - which includes the raw lineup of players and minutes projections
-Third is projected wins, which takes the 2nd and applies it to this season's schedule.
Notes:
-Yes, I did adjust Cleveland so Varejao gets more minutes and Clark gets less.
-Enjoy responsibly!
Praise for The Basketball Distribution:
"...confusing." - CBS
"...quite the pun master." - ESPN
As an example of a single game prediction, is it correct to say that your ratings see a 2 point differential between Miami and Houston on a neutral court in the regular season?
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