For all your fancy-pants statistical needs.

Praise for The Basketball Distribution:

"...confusing." - CBS
"...quite the pun master." - ESPN

Clemson @ UNC

iHistorically, Clemson has a 0% chance of winning. They have never won in the Dean Dome.

But here are the computer-predicted scores/% chances of winning.


Accuscore: UNC-90 (87% win), Clemson-75
Kenpom.com: UNC-88 (84% win), Clemson-77

Nathan's win%: UNC: 70% Clemson: 30%



% chance of final margin being within __ points-

1: 4%
3: 12%
6: 24%
9: 35%
12: 47%
13: 51%
15: 58%

Also, I have a new predictor for 3 of kenpom's four factors:


eFG % TO% OR% DR% (1-Opp OR%) PPP






North Carolina 52.4 19.6 44.1 68.0 1.100
Clemson 48.8 21.0 32.0 56.0 0.957








We'll see how it goes! UNC just has to take advantage of their rebounding advantage.

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I wish my heart were as often large as my hands.