But here are the computer-predicted scores/% chances of winning.
Accuscore: UNC-90 (87% win), Clemson-75
Kenpom.com: UNC-88 (84% win), Clemson-77
Nathan's win%: UNC: 70% Clemson: 30%
% chance of final margin being within __ points-
1: 4%
3: 12%
6: 24%
9: 35%
12: 47%
13: 51%
15: 58%
Also, I have a new predictor for 3 of kenpom's four factors:
eFG % | TO% | OR% | DR% (1-Opp OR%) | PPP | |
North Carolina | 52.4 | 19.6 | 44.1 | 68.0 | 1.100 |
Clemson | 48.8 | 21.0 | 32.0 | 56.0 | 0.957 |
We'll see how it goes! UNC just has to take advantage of their rebounding advantage.
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