Why Pitt would beat UNC in the NCAA tournament, but UNC has a better chance of getting to the finals.

short answer: because UNC has a faster paced-game

long answer:

UNC has a greater chance of making the game a higher scoring margin, and thereby putting the game out of range, due to their faster-paced game. The faster you are (at high efficiencies), the higher your point margin. Here is a chart with the # of TOTAL NCAA teams that could come within 1,3,6,9,or 12 points of each team(or beat them).

Then I did some weighted averaging and rounding to give us the number of teams each would beat in a really close, then semi-close games.

How many teams can perform against you
	overall rk	Within x points or >	1	3	6	9	12	tight or worse	Close-med close or worse
	1	Duke	0	2	10	21	39	3	20
	2	Pittsburgh	4	8	19	37	58	9	34
	3	North Carolina	5	8	16	29	43	8	27
	4	West Virginia	7	10	26	42	67	12	41
	5	Arizona St.	7	11	26	42	66	12	40
	6	Gonzaga	7	11	26	42	66	12	40
	7	Connecticut	7	11	24	38	64	12	38
	8	Georgetown	7	14	28	47	72	14	44
	9	Wake Forest	10	17	32	48	71	17	46
	10	Brigham Young	11	18	34	51	73	18	49