Effective Efficiency

This measures the predicted minimum number of possessions an average team would need near the end to come back and beat the team listed.

As of 1/18

Rank	Team	Effective Efficiency
1)	North Carolina	8.39
2)	Duke	8
3)	Gonzaga	7.37
4)	Missouri	7.15
5)	Wake Forest	7.03
6)	Connecticut	6.92
7)	Pittsburgh	6.78
8)	Georgetown	6.74
9)	Memphis	6.2
10)	Oklahoma	6.07
11)	Arizona St.	6.06
12)	UCLA	6.02
13)	West Virginia	5.78
14)	Louisville	5.75
15)	Brigham Young	5.75
16)	Marquette	5.7
17)	Washington	5.64
18)	Clemson	5.62
19)	Michigan St.	5.6
20)	Kansas	5.49
21)	Xavier	5.32
22)	California	5.3
23)	Syracuse	5.17
24)	Kentucky	5.14
25)	Purdue	5.12

This is roughly the data used with the LRMC: http://www2.isye.gatech.edu/~jsokol/lrmc/

The likely difference comes from how the strength-of-schedule is adjusted for.